Online Grocery market will increase from Rs. 14,000 crores ($2 billion) today to Rs. 1.4 lakh crores ($20 billion) in just 5 years! Groceries will lead the aggressive e-commerce growth in India for the next 5 to 10 years.
Back in 2006, when I used to live in the United Kingdom, I
was super happy when the two supermarket giants, Tesco and Sainsburys started
to take online orders and do door delivery. I was never a fan of going to the
supermarket, drag the cart along to pick my groceries, stand in long queues to
checkout and stuff. I always wondered if this would ever find ground in India
with such a strong presence of neighborhood Kirana stores and the fact that
still, only a minor segment of the overall groceries market is branded or
organized.
Online Groceries and Indian Market
Back in India during the first half of this decade, I was
pleasantly surprised at the rise of online grocery marketplaces. It only made
sense with all the fast-changing lifestyles, busy professional careers, nuclear
families, affinity to convenience food products, increasing levels of disposal
income levels, etc.,
The two top players Big Basket and Grofers together occupy
80% of the online grocery market of Rs. 14,000 crore ($2 billion). This
number might look big but it is just 0.5% of the total grocery market of Rs.
27 lakh crore ($380 billion) approximately, which itself is 60% of the total retail
market of India. Now, just imagine the growth potential of online groceries
with increasing digital connectivity and online adoption that is happening
holistically in the country!
While the online groceries market has been growing with a
Year-on-Year (YoY) growth rate of over 50% for the last 2 years, it is now set
to take off like never before in the next 5 years
How Corona Virus pandemic is influencing Online Groceries growth story?
One definitive disruption that Corona virus is causing to the traditional supply chain of Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG), where people are
growing uncomfortable going to stores to do their grocery shopping. The shift
to online order and direct delivery is being expedited.
The Indian e-commerce growth will now be further expedited
and led by groceries and apparel segments. The e-commerce market is expected to
be Rs. 7 lakh crores ($99 billion), approximately, by 2024 with a YoY growth
rate of 25%. Whereas the Online grocery segment is set to register a YoY growth
rate of over 80% until 2024. Thus, the size of the online grocery market will be
about Rs. 1.4 lakh crore ($20 billion) by 2024 from Rs. 14,000 crores ($2
billion), today, a tenfold increase in just 5 years! Now, that is one
incredible growth story to be realized!
What new opportunities will online adoption bring to product companies?
No more rental fee to be paid to storesNo more big-budget advertising in traditional mediaNo more middlemen: Connect directly with your customer
The overall digital connectivity and expansion of online groceries market will reduce entry barriers to new product companies and democratize the market participation process in a great way. For example, one big barrier that new and small-scale product companies face is the rental fee charged by stores to display their products. Starting from well established and multi-unit supermarket chains to single unit grocery stores in prime locations, almost everyone charges a rental fee on top of hefty margins on the Maximum Retail Price (MRP), sometimes up to 40%-50%.
To market your product to a wider audience and expand geographical
reach, companies no longer need to spend a fortune on advertising. Smart
Social Media campaigns will give the same level of reach and spread with a fraction
of the budget.
Online B2C - Connect directly with your customer! While the
e-commerce, in general, and online groceries, in particular, is dominated by
marketplace business models, there is a beautiful niche story evolving, where product
companies are executing Business-to-Customer (B2C) marketing strategy through
online medium. Through a website or mobile application or social media
platform, one can directly engage with customers, take orders, and provide
doorstep delivery. This is picking pace with those product companies that have
a distinct or unique value offering to their customers! Especially, niche food
product companies could gain tremendously through online B2C execution.
Online B2C: The case for niche food product companies
A company offering food products with unique and/or distinct
value proposition, I believe, will gain much greater traction in the fast
evolving and expanding online groceries market through the Online B2C
execution.
Diet management and balanced meals have been a growing realization
over the last 4-5 years, especially among urban working professionals. However,
this was mostly focused on weight loss rather than holistic healthcare. The
corona virus pandemic has evoked, rather rudely, the need for holistic
healthcare through a healthy diet leading to immunity-boosting and healthier
living. Thus, the adoption of healthier and functional food products will pick
up a tremendous pace.
For example, Dosa, a pancake made with a dough of rice and
black gram (a kind of pulses) is a staple breakfast food in the southern part
of India. A healthy functional and convenience food alternative to the same
will be an instant mix powder made of several pulses and cereals rather
than just two. The nutritional values will be fortified, and it aids in
holistic healthcare. This is exactly what the Yazas Nutricereals Instant Dosa
Mix is, which is made using 10 different pulses and cereals. The whole
portfolio of products of Yazas serves as natural and functional healthy
convenience food products!
Thus, a healthy and natural food products company could
communicate directly to its potential clients in a much more personalized manner and engage directly through the online B2C strategy as part of the
overall online groceries’ revolution!
Furthermore, there is a significant change underway as far
as a few primary level or raw food products are concerned. Over the last 15-20
years, tea, coffee, and edible oils have all become almost 100% branded
products. Now, this change is currently underway for pulses. The pulses market
of INR 2 lakh crore ($28 billion) has just 10% of it under branded or organized
status. The expansion of the online grocery market will expedite the shift to
branded products, significantly. Online customers will intuitively feel comfortable
to order a branded product, especially one they are familiar with.
While this could happen with the overall pulses market, there
is another interesting development underway as far as its variety mix is
concerned. With increasing focus on holistic healthcare and healthy diet management,
the affinity for otherwise fringe pulses and cereals such as Finger Millet and
Foxtail Millet, to name a few, is increasing fast.
Thus, if a company offering natural, healthy, functional
and convenient food products adopts Online B2C strategy and further expands
its portfolio to offer high quality branded niche pulses and cereals, its
business prospects will increase multi-fold!
A bright, promising and rewarding new world awaits groceries
and especially niche food products companies that can adapt themselves to the online
world.
Without a doubt, Groceries and Online is a match made in
heaven, and it is here to stay!!
References:
https://www.livemint.com/industry/retail/india-e-commerce-to-grow-27-reliance-to-capture-half-of-online-grocery-sales-goldman-11595332258387.html
Several other online sources
Crisp yet informative :-)
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